2019 Oscars Eve Prediction

2019年1月22日香港時間大約晚上九時半，美國電影藝術與科學學會(The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences)便會公佈第九十一屆學院獎(Academy Awards)的提名名單，現在讓我做一個Oscars Eve Prediction，看我的預測是否準確。

BEST PICTURE
1. Green Book
2. Roma
3. A Star Is Born
4. The Favourite
5. BlacKkKlansman
6. Bohemian Rhapsody
7. Vice
8. Black Panther
9. If Beale Street Could Talk
Alternates: First Man, Widows
No Gut, No Glory!: The Hate U Give

BEST DIRECTING
1. Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
2. Peter Farrelly, Green Book
3. Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
4. Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
5. Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Alternates: Adam McKay, Vice, Damien Chazelle, First Man
No Gut, No Glory!: Steve McQueen, Widows

BEST ACTOR
1. Christian Bale, Vice
2. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
3. Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
4. Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
5. John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman
Alternates: Ethan Hawke, First Reformed, Willem Dafoe, At Eternity's Gate
No Gut, No Glory!: Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased

BEST ACTRESS
1. Glenn Close, The Wife
2. Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
3. Olivia Colman, The Favourite
4. Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
5. Viola Davis, Widows
Alternates: Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns, Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
No Gut, No Glory!: Toni Collette, Hereditary

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Mahershala Ali, Green Book
2. Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
3. Timothée Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
4. Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
5. Sam Rockwell, Vice
Alternates: Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman, Michael B. Jordan, Black Panther
No Gut, No Glory!: Steven Yeun, Burning

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
2. Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
3. Emma Stone, The Favourite
4. Amy Adams, Vice
5. Emily Blunt, A Quiet Place
Alternates: Claire Foy, First Man, Margot Robbie, Mary Queen of Scots
No Gut, No Glory!: Michelle Yeoh, Crazy Rich Asians

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Green Book
2. Roma
3. The Favourite
4. Eighth Grade
5. Bohemian Rhapsody
Alternates: First Reformed, Vice
No Gut, No Glory!: A Quiet Place

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. If Beale Street Could Talk
2. Can You Ever Forgive Me?
3. BlacKkKlansman
4. A Star Is Born
5. Leave No Trace
Alternates: Crazy Rich Asians, The Death of Stalin
No Gut, No Glory!: Widows

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
1. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
2. Incredibles 2
3. Ralph Breaks the Internet
4. Isle of Dogs
5. Mirai
Alternates: The Grinch, Ruben Brandt, Collector
No Gut, No Glory!: On Happiness Road

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
1. The Favourite
2. Mary Poppins Returns
3. Roma
4. First Man
5. BlacKkKlansman
Alternates: Black Panther, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
No Gut, No Glory!: Crazy Rich Asians

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1. Roma
2. First Man
3. Cold War
4. A Star Is Born
5. The Favourite
Alternates: If Beale Street Could Talk, Mary Poppins Returns
No Gut, No Glory!: A Quiet Place

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
1. The Favourite
2. Mary Poppins Returns
3. Mary Queen of Scots
4. Bohemian Rhapsody
5. BlacKkKlansman
Alternates: The Ballad of Buster Scruggs, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
No Gut, No Glory!: Crazy Rich Asians

BEST FILM EDITING
1. Green Book
2. First Man
3. Roma
4. A Star Is Born
5. Bohemian Rhapsody
Alternates: Vice, BlacKkKlansman
No Gut, No Glory!: Widows

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
1. Vice
2. Stan and Ollie
3. Bohemian Rhapsody
Alternates: Border, Black Panther
No Gut, No Glory!: Suspiria

BEST SOUND MIXING
1. A Star Is Born
2. First Man
3. A Quiet Place
4. Bohemian Rhapsody
5. Roma
Alternates: Black Panther, Mary Poppins Returns
No Gut, No Glory!: Mission: Impossible - Fallout

BEST SOUND EDITING
1. First Man
2. A Quiet Place
3. Black Panther
4. A Star Is Born
5. Mission: Impossible - Fallout
Alternates: Ready Player One, Roma
No Gut, No Glory!: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
1. Black Panther
2. Ready Player One
3. Avengers: Infinity War
4. First Man
5. Mary Poppins Returns
Alternates: Christopher Robin, Solo: A Star Wars Story
No Gut, No Glory!: Welcome to Marwen

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
1. First Man
2. If Beale Street Could Talk
3. Isle of Dogs
4. Mary Poppins Returns
5. A Quiet Place
Alternates: Black Panther, BlacKkKlansman
No Gut, No Glory!: Crazy Rich Asians

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
1. "Shallow", A Star Is Born
2. "All the Stars", Black Panther
3. "I'll Fight", RBG
4. "Trip a Little Light Fantastic", Mary Poppins Returns
5. "Girls in the Movies", Dumplin
Alternates: "Revelation", Boy Erased, "The Place Where Lost Things Go", Mary Poppins Returns
No Gut, No Glory!: "We Won't Move", The Hate U Give

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1. Won't You Be My Neighbor?
2. Three Identical Strangers
3. Free Solo
4. RBG
5. Shirkers
Alternates: Crime + Punishment, On Her Shoulders
No Gut, No Glory!: Komunia

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
1. Roma (Mexico)
2. Cold War (Poland)
3. Capernaum (Lebanon)
4. Shoplifters (Japan)
5. Burning (South Korea)
Alternates: Never Look Away (Germany), The Guilty (Denmark)
No Gut, No Glory!: Birds of Passage (Colombia)

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
1. Bao
2. Pépé Le Morse
3. Age of Sail
4. Animal Behaviour
5. Bilby
Alternates: Bird Karma, One Small Step
No Gut, No Glory!: Late Afternoon

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
1. End Game
2. My Dead Dad's Porno Tapes
3. Zion
4. Los Comandos
5. Black Sheep
Alternates: Period. End of Sentence, LIFEBOAT
No Gut, No Glory!: 63 Boycott

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
1. Caroline
2. Detainment
3. Susotázs
4. Skin
5. May Day
Alternates: Fauve