2020 Oscars Eve Prediction

2019年1月13日香港時間大約晚上九時半，美國電影藝術與科學學會(The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences)便會公佈第九十二屆學院獎(Academy Awards)的提名名單，現在讓我做一個Oscars Eve Prediction，看我的預測是否準確。

BEST PICTURE
1. Parasite
2. 1917
3. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
4. The Irishman
5. Joker
6. Marriage Story
7. Jojo Rabbit
8. Little Women
Alternates: Knives Out, The Two Popes
No Gut, No Glory!: Honey Boy

BEST DIRECTING
1. Bong Joon-Ho, Parasite
2. Sam Mendes, 1917
3. Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
4. Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
5. Todd Phillips, Joker
Alternates: Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story, Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit
No Gut, No Glory!: Rian Johnson, Knives Out

BEST ACTOR
1. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
2. Taron Egerton, Rocketman
3. Adam Driver, Marriage Story
4. Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
5. Christian Bale, Ford v Ferrari
Alternates: Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory, Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
No Gut, No Glory!: Roman Griffith Davis, Jojo Rabbit

BEST ACTRESS
1. Renée Zellweger, Judy
2. Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
3. Lupita Nyong'o, Us
4. Awkwafina, The Farewell
5. Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Alternates: Charlize Theron, Bombshell, Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
No Gut, No Glory!: Noémie Merlant, Portrait of a Lady on Fire

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
2. Joe Pesci, The Irishman
3. Al Pacino, The Irishman
4. Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
5. Song Kang-Ho, Parasite
Alternates: Alan Alda, Marriage Story, Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse
No Gut, No Glory!: Shia LaBeouf, Honey Boy

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Laura Dern, Marriage Story
2. Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
3. Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
4. Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell
5. Florence Pugh, Little Women
Alternates: Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit, Nicole Kidman, Bombshell
No Gut, No Glory!: Jo Yeo-Jeong, Parasite

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Parasite
2. 1917
3. Marriage Story
4. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
5. Knives Out
Alternates: The Farewell, The Two Popes
No Gut, No Glory!: Waves

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. Jojo Rabbit
2. Joker
3. The Irishman
4. Little Women
5. Just Mercy
Alternates: A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Hustlers
No Gut, No Glory!: Luce

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
1. I Lost My Body
2. Toy Story 4
3. Frozen II
4. Missing Link
5. How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Alternates: Klaus, Abominable
No Gut, No Glory!: Weathering with You

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
1. 1917
2. The Irishman
3. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
4. Jojo Rabbit
5. Little Women
Alternates: Parasite, Downtown Abbey
No Gut, No Glory!: Ad Astra

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1. 1917
2. Joker
3. The Irishman
4. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
5. Parasite
Alternates: A Hidden Life, The Lighthouse
No Gut, No Glory!: Portrait of a Lady on Fire

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
1. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
2. Rocketman
3. Little Women
4. Downton Abbey
5. Dolemite Is My Name
Alternates: Judy, Jojo Rabbit
No Gut, No Glory!: Aladdin

BEST FILM EDITING
1. 1917
2. Parasite
3. Ford v Ferrari
4. The Irishman
5. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
Alternates: Joker, Knives Out
No Gut, No Glory!: Uncut Gems

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
1. Joker
2. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
3. Rocketman
4. Maleficient: Mistress of Evil
5. Bombshell
Alternates: Judy, Little Women
No Gut, No Glory!: Dolemite Is My Name

BEST SOUND MIXING
1. 1917
2. Ford v Ferrari
3. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
4. Rocketman
5. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
Alternates: The Irishman, Judy
No Gut, No Glory!: Us

BEST SOUND EDITING
1. 1917
2. Ford v Ferrari
3. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
4. Joker
5. The Irishman
Alternates: Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood, Ad Astra
No Gut, No Glory!: Avengers: Endgame

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
1. 1917
2. The Irishman
3. Alita: Battle Angel
4. Avengers: Endgame
5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Alternates: The Lion King, Temrinator: Dark Fate
No Gut, No Glory!: Cats

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
1. Joker
2. 1917
3. Little Women
4. Motherless Brooklyn
5. Marriage Story
Alternates: Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, Pain and Glory
No Gut, No Glory!: Frozen II

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
1. "(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again", Rocketman
2. "I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away", Toy Story 4
3. "Into the Unknown", Frozen II
4. "Stand Up", Harriet
5. "A Glass of Soju", Parasite
Alternates: "Glasgow", Wild Rose, "I’m Standing With You", Breakthrough
No Gut, No Glory!: "Speechless", Aladdin

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1. For Sama
2. Honeyland
3. American Factory
4. Apollo 11
5. One Child Nation
Alternates: The Cave, The Great Hack
No Gut, No Glory!: Knock Down the House

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM
1. Parasite (South Korea)
2. Pain and Glory (Spain)
3. Honeyland (North Macedonia)
4. Les Misérables (France)
5. Atlantics (Senegal)
Alternates: Beanpole (Russia), The Painted Bird (Czech Republic)
No Gut, No Glory!: Corpus Christi (Poland)

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
1. Uncle Thomas: Accounting for the Days
2. Dcera (Daughter)
3. Hair Love
4. The Physics of Sorrow
5. He Can’t Live without Cosmos
Alternates: Hors Piste, Mind My Mind
No Gut, No Glory!: Sister

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
1. Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You’re a Girl)
2. The Nightcrawlers
3. After Maria
4. Fire in Paradise
5. St. Louis Superman
Alternates: Walk Run Cha-Cha, In the Absence
No Gut, No Glory!: Stay Close

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
1. Sometimes, I Think about Dying
2. The Christmas Gift
3. Miller and Son
4. A Sister
5. Brotherhood
Alternates: The Neighbors’ Window, Little Hands
No Gut, No Glory!: Refugee