2014 Oscars Eve Prediction

明天香港時間大約晚上九時半，美國電影藝術與科學學會(The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences)便會公佈第八十六屆學院獎(Academy Awards)的提名名單，去年我的猜測並不太差，但今年的我也有不少心水，所以有些項目很難抉擇，現在讓我做一個Oscars Eve Prediction，看我的預測是否準確，今年還會包括幕後的獎項。

Best Motion Picture Prediction:
1. 12 Years A Slave
2. American Hustle
3. Gravity
4. Her
5. Inside Llewyn Davis
6. The Wolf of Wall Street
7. Nebraska
8. Dallas Buyers Club
9. Philomena
10. Captain Phillips
Alternates: Saving Mr. Banks, Lee Daniels' the Butler
No Gut, No Glory!: Fruitvale Station

Best Directing Prediction:
1. Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
2. Steve McQueen, 12 Years A Slave
3. David O. Russell, American Hustle
4. Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
5. Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
Alternates: Spike Jonze, Her, Alexander Payne, Nebraska
No Gut, No Glory!: Lee Daniels, Lee Daniels' the Butler

Best Actor Prediction:
1. Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
2. Bruce Dern, Nebraska
3. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
4. Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years A Slave
5. Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Alternates: Robert Redford, All Is Lost, Joaquin Phoenix, Her
No Gut, No Glory!: Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis

Best Actress Prediction:
1. Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
2. Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
3. Sandra Bullock, Gravity
4. Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
5. Judi Dench, Philomena
Alternates: Amy Adams, American Hustle, Brie Larson, Short Term 12
No Gut, No Glory!: Paulina Garcia, Gloria

Best Supporting Actor Prediction:
1. Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
2. Michael Fassbender, 12 Years A Slave
3. Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
4. Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
5. Daniel Brühl, Rush
Alternates: James Gandolfini, Enough Said, Will Forte, Nebraska
No Gut, No Glory!: Sam Rockwell, The Way, Way Back

Best Supporting Actress Prediction:
1. Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years A Slave
2. Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
3. June Squibb, Nebraska
4. Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels' the Butler
5. Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
Alternates: Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine, Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station
No Gut, No Glory!: Lea Seydoux, Blue Is the Warmest Color

Best Original Screenplay Prediction:
1. American Hustle
2. Her
3. Nebraska
4. Inside Llewyn Davis
5. Short Term 12
Alternates: Blue Jasmine, Fruitvale Station
No Gut, No Glory!: Frozen

Best Adapted Screenplay Prediction:
1. 12 Years A Slave
2. The Wolf of Wall Street
3. Philomena
4. Before Midnight
5. August : Osage County
Alternates: Captain Phillips, Blue Is the Warmest Color
No Gut, No Glory!: The Book Thief

Best Animated Feature Prediction:
1. Frozen
2. The Wind Rises
3. The Croods
4. Monsters University
5. Ernest and Celestine
Alternates: Despicable Me 2, Epic
No Gut, No Glory!: The Fake

Best Production Design Prediction:
1. Gravity
2. 12 Years A Slave
3. The Great Gatsby
4. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
5. Inside Llewyn Davis
Alternates: Her, Saving Mr. Banks
No Gut, No Glory!: The Book Thief

Best Cinematography Prediction:
1. Gravity
2. 12 Years A Slave
3. Inside Llewyn Davis
4. The Grandmaster
5. Nebraska
Alternates: Rush, Prisoners
No Gut, No Glory!: Lone Survivor

Best Costume Design Prediction:
1. The Great Gatsby
2. American Hustle
3. Saving Mr. Banks
4. 12 Years A Slave
5. The Invisible Woman
Alternates: Oz: The Great and Powerful, The Book Thief
No Gut, No Glory!: Inside Llewyn Davis

Best Film Editing Prediction:
1. 12 Years A Slave
2. Gravity
3. American Hustle
4. Captain Phillips
5. Rush
Alternates: Lone Survivor, Prisoners
No Gut, No Glory!: Inside Llewyn Davis

Best Makeup and Hairstyling Prediction:
1. American Hustle
2. Dallas Buyers Club
3. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Alternates: Dallas Buyers Club, The Great Gatsby
No Gut, No Glory!: Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa

Best Sound Mixing Prediction:
1. Gravity
2. Rush
3. Lone Survivor
4. Inside Llewyn Davis
5. All Is Lost
Alternates: Captain Phillips, 12 Years a Slave
No Gut, No Glory!: The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

Best Sound Editing Prediction:
1. Gravity
2. Rush
3. Lone Survivor
4. All Is Lost
5. Captain Phillips
Alternates: Iron Man 3, Pacific Rim
No Gut, No Glory!: Oblivion

Best Visual Effects Prediction:
1. Gravity
2. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
3. Iron Man 3
4. Elysium
5. Oblivion
Alternates: Pacific Rim, World War Z
No Gut, No Glory!: Thor: The Dark World

Best Original Score Prediction:
1. Saving Mr. Banks
2. Gravity
3. The Book Thief
4. 12 Years A Slave
5. All Is Lost
Alternates: Philomena, Rush
No Gut, No Glory!: Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom

Best Original Song Prediction:
1. "Let It Go", Frozen
2. "Young and Beautiful", The Great Gatsby
3. "Ordinary Love", Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
4. "So You Know What It's Like", Short Term 12
5. "Happy", Despicable Me 2
Alternates: "Last Mile Home", August: Osage County, "My Lord Sunshine (Sunrise)", 12 Years A Slave
No Gut, No Glory!: "Get Used to Me", The Sapphires

Best Documentary Feature Prediction:
1. The Act of Killing
2. Stories We Tell
3. The Square
4. Blackfish
5. 20 Feet from Stardom
Alternates: Tim's Vermeer, Cutie and the Boxer
No Gut, No Glory!: Life According to Sam

Best Foreign Language Film Prediction:
1. The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
2. The Grandmaster (Hong Kong)
3. The Hunt (Denmark)
4. The Great Beauty (Italy)
5. The Missing Picture (Cambodia)
Alternates: Two Lives (Germany), Omar (Palestine)
No Gut, No Glory!: An Episode in the Life of an Iron Picker (Bosnia and Herzegovina)