2016年2月28日 星期日

2016 Academy Awards Full List Final Prediction and Will/Should Win Plus Deliberations (For Some Awards)

I am in bad luck these days. Glad that I can still take a day off to watch the Oscars live. Here are my final predictions.

BEST PICTURE
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight
Will Win: The Revenant
Could Win: The Big Short
Should Win: The Big Short
Personal Favorite: Room
Deliberation: The Revenant seems to take it big this year. It is not the top frontrunner until the end of the season. Spotlight and The Big Short still have their chances to grab the prize. Other nominees look like they are just happy to be nominated at the end. Room does really attract my attention but I have still not yet watched it. Out of the eight nominees this year, I have watched five of them (not including Bridge of Spies, Brooklyn and Mad Max: Fury Road).

BEST ACTOR IN LEADING ROLE
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Matt Damon, The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
Will Win: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Could Win: Matt Damon, The Martian
Should Win: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Personal Favorite: Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
Deliberation: Everybody says that this year is the year of Leonardo DiCaprio because he still have not earned a statuette yet for his wonderful performances in these years. He was definitely ignored for some of his remarkable roles and this is his eventual reward for his acting career. Honestly, i think Eddie Redmayne is very lucky to get some many good roles for his second nomination in a row. He should have won for this role if he did not win last year since this role is even more challenging. Michael Fassbender is also great in the movie and Matt Damon can finally get his turn for such hilarious and heroic performance. Out of the five nominees, I have watched four of their performances (not including Bryan Cranston).

BEST ACTRESS IN LEADING ROLE
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
Will Win: Brie Larson, Room
Could Win: Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
Should Win: Brie Larson, Room
Personal Favorite: Brie Larson, Room
Deliberation: This year is between two younger actresses, Brie Larson and Saoirse Ronan. Two of them gave their best performances of their career and obviously Brie Larson is getting more boost for being a single mom in the movie. Cate Blanchett is great also but the movie seems not too popular among voters. Jennifer Lawrence is getting a nomination again and she may be able to break the record of Meryl Streep one day. Out of the five nominees, I have watched three of their performances (not including Charlotte Rampling and Saoirse Ronan).

BEST ACTOR IN SUPPORTING ROLE
Christian Bale, The Big Short
Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Will Win: Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Could Win: Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Should Win: Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Personal Favorite: Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Deliberation: Sylvester Stallone should thank the support of the audience and voters for referring his performance as an awarding one. I think that he got this award because of the overdue status. Early frontrunner Mark Rylance can shake things up if he works harder for his campaign. Christian Bale and Tom Hardy deliver a good performance respectively in their films. Mark Ruffalo continues to fight for his final win at the Oscars. Out of the five nominees, I have watched four of their performance (not including Mark Rylance).

BEST ACTRESS IN SUPPORTING ROLE
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
Will Win: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Could Win: Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
Should Win: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Personal Favorite: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Deliberation: Indeed this category is full of competition this year and five of them are able to win at the final stage. However, Alicia Vikander can gain a lot of attention as she has five movies released in 2015. She is the spotlight of both The Danish Girl and Ex Machina. Kate Winslet takes two awards home but at the same time Alicia Vikander did not competed with her for The Danish Girl. The other three nominees are all very great as well. It is a hard pick for me too. Out of the five nominees, I have watched all of their performances.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Anomalisa
Boy and the World
Inside Out
Shaun the Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There
Will Win: Inside Out
Could Win: Anomalisa
Should Win: Anomalisa
Personal Favorite: Inside Out
Deliberation: People like Inside Out very much due to its originality and the cuteness of the characters. Anomalisa can truly reflect the lives of humans with the presentation of animation. Two features which are less well-known can get into the race. Probably there would be at least one Japanese feature in this category every single year after. Out of the five nominees, I have watched two of them (not including Boy and the World, Shaun the Sheep Movie and When Marnie Was There).

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Ed Lachman, Carol
Robert Richardson, The Hateful Eight
John Seale, Mad Max: Fury Road
Emmanuel Lubezki, The Revenant
Roger Deakins, Sicario
Will Win: Emmanuel Lubezki, The Revenant
Could Win: Ed Lachman, Carol
Should Win: Emmanuel Lubezki, The Revenant
Personal Favorite: Emmanuel Lubezki, The Revenant

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Sandy Powell, Carol
Sandy Powell, Cinderella
Paco Delgado, The Danish Girl
Jenny Beavan, Mad Max: Fury Road
Jacqueline West, The Revenant
Will Win: Sandy Powell, Carol
Could Win: Jenny Beavan, Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: Sandy Powell, Carol
Personal Favorite: Sandy Powell, Carol

BEST DIRECTING
Adam McKay, The Big Short
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
Alejandro G. Iñárritu, The Revenant
Lenny Abrahamson, Room
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Will Win: Alejandro G. Iñárritu, The Revenant
Could Win: Adam McKay, The Big Short
Should Win: Adam McKay, The Big Short
Personal Favorite: Adam McKay, The Big Short
Deliberation: Alejandro G. Iñárritu is able to break the record to win Best Directing twice in a row. He is so strong at the later stage of the award season and it is out of my expectation too. Adam McKay's direction to the movie did surprise me as he uses an innovative idea to enrich the movie. George Miller may win this due to overdue status but this is less than likely. Out of the five nominees, I have watched four of their performances (not including George Miller).

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Amy
Cartel Land
The Look of Silence
What Happened, Miss Simone?
Winter on Fire: Ukraine's Fight for Freedom
Will Win: Amy
Could Win: The Look of Silence
Should Win: Amy
Personal Favorite: What Happened, Miss Simone?

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
Body Team 12
Chau, Beyond the Lines
Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah
Last Day of Freedom
Will Win: Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah
Could Win: Last Day of Freedom
Should Win: A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
Personal Favorite: Body Team 12

BEST FILM EDITING
Hank Corwin, The Big Short
Margaret Sixel, Mad Max: Fury Road
Stephen Mirrione, The Revenant
Tom McArdle, Spotlight
Maryann Brandon and Mary Jo Markey, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will Win: Margaret Sixel, Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: Stephen Mirrione, The Revenant
Should Win: Margaret Sixel, Mad Max: Fury Road
Personal Favorite: Hank Corwin, The Big Short

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
A War (Denmark)
Embrace of the Serpent (Columbia)
Mustang (France)
Son of Saul (Hungary)
Theeb (Jordan)
Will Win: Son of Saul (Hungary)
Could Win: Theeb (Jordan)
Should Win: Son of Saul (Hungary)
Personal Favorite: Son of Saul (Hungary)

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Love Larson and Eva Von Bahr, The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared
Lesley Vanderwalt, Elka Wardega and Damian Martin, Mad Max: Fury Road
Sian Grigg, Duncan Jarman and Robert A. Pandini, The Revenant
Will Win: Lesley Vanderwalt, Elka Wardega and Damian Martin, Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: Sian Grigg, Duncan Jarman and Robert A. Pandini, The Revenant
Should Win: Lesley Vanderwalt, Elka Wardega and Damian Martin, Mad Max: Fury Road
Personal Favorite: Lesley Vanderwalt, Elka Wardega and Damian Martin, Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST MUSIC, ORIGINAL SCORE
Thomas Newman, Bridge of Spies
Carter Burwell, Carol
Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight
Jóhann Jóhannsson, Sicario
John Williams, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will Win: Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight
Could Win: John Williams, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Should Win: Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight
Personal Favorite: John Williams, Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST MUSIC, ORIGINAL SONG
"Earned It", Music and Lyric by Abel Tesfaye, Ahmad Balshe, Jason Daheala Quenneville and Stephan Moccio, Fifty Shades of Grey
"Manta Ray", Music and Lyric by J. Ralph and Antony Hegarty, Racing Extinction
"Simple Song #3", Music and Lyric by David Lang, Youth
"Til It Happens to You", Music and Lyric by Diane Warren and Lady Gaga, The Hunting Ground
"Writing's on the Wall", Music and Lyric by Sam Smith and James Napier, Spectre
Will Win: "Til It Happens to You", Music and Lyric by Diane Warren and Lady Gaga, The Hunting Ground
Could Win: "Writing's on the Wall", Music and Lyric by Sam Smith and James Napier, Spectre
Should Win: "Simple Song #3", Music and Lyric by David Lang, Youth
Personal Favorite: "Til It Happens to You", Music and Lyric by Diane Warren and Lady Gaga, The Hunting Ground

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Adam Stockhausen (Production Design), Rena DeAngelo and Bernhard Henrich (Set Decoration), Bridge of Spies
Eve Stewart (Production Design), Michael Standish (Set Decoration), The Danish Girl
Colin Gibson (Production Design), Katie Sharrock and Lisa Thompson (Set Decoration), Mad Max: Fury Road
Arthur Max (Production Design), Celia Bobak and Zoltán Horváth (Set Decoration), The Martian
Jack Fisk (Production Design), Hamish Purdy (Set Decoration), The Revenant
Will Win: Colin Gibson (Production Design), Katie Sharrock and Lisa Thompson (Set Decoration), Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: Jack Fisk (Production Design), Hamish Purdy (Set Decoration), The Revenant
Should Win: Colin Gibson (Production Design), Katie Sharrock and Lisa Thompson (Set Decoration), Mad Max: Fury Road
Personal Favorite: Eve Stewart (Production Design), Michael Standish (Set Decoration), The Danish Girl

BEST SHORT FILM - ANIMATED
Bear Story
Prologue
Sanjay's Super Team
We Can't Live without Cosmos
World of Tomorrow
Will Win: Sanjay's Super Team
Could Win: World of Tomorrow
Should Win: Sanjay's Super Team
Personal Favorite: Sanjay's Super Team

BEST SHORT FILM - LIVE ACTION
Ave Maria
Day One
Everything Will Be Okay (Alles Wird Gut)
Shok
Stutterer
Will Win: Shok
Could Win: Stutterer
Should Win: Shok
Personal Favorite: Day One

BEST SOUND EDITING
Mark Mangini and David White, Mad Max: Fury Road
Oliver Tarney, The Martian
Martin Hernandez and Lon Bender, The Revenant
Alan Robert Murray, Sicario
Matthew Wood and David Acord, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will Win: Martin Hernandez and Lon Bender, The Revenant
Could Win: Matthew Wood and David Acord, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Should Win: Martin Hernandez and Lon Bender, The Revenant
Personal Favorite: Matthew Wood and David Acord, Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST SOUND MIXING
Andy Nelson, Gary Rydstrom and Drew Kunin, Bridge of Spies
Chris Jenkins, Gregg Rudloff and Ben Osmo, Mad Max: Fury Road
Paul Massey, Mark Taylor and Mac Ruth, The Martian
Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño, Randy Thom and Chris Duesterdiek, The Revenant
Andy Nelson, Christopher Scarabosio and Stuart Wilson, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will Win: Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño, Randy Thom and Chris Duesterdiek, The Revenant
Could Win: Andy Nelson, Christopher Scarabosio and Stuart Wilson, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Should Win: Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño, Randy Thom and Chris Duesterdiek, The Revenant
Personal Favorite: Andy Nelson, Christopher Scarabosio and Stuart Wilson, Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Andrew Whitehurst, Paul Norris, Mark Ardington and Sara Bennett, Ex Machina
Andrew Jackson, Tom Wood, Dan Oliver and Andy Williams, Mad Max: Fury Road
Richard Stammers, Anders Langlands, Chris Lawrence and Steven Warner, The Martian
Rich McBride, Matthew Shumway, Jason Smith and Cameron Waldbauer, The Revenant
Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Neal Scanlan and Chris Corbould, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will Win: Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Neal Scanlan and Chris Corbould, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Could Win: Rich McBride, Matthew Shumway, Jason Smith and Cameron Waldbauer, The Revenant
Should Win: Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Neal Scanlan and Chris Corbould, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Personal Favorite: Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Neal Scanlan and Chris Corbould, Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST WRITING, ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Charles Randolph and Adam McKay, The Big Short
Nick Hornby, Brooklyn
Phyllis Nagy, Carol
Drew Goddard, The Martian
Emma Donoghue, Room
Will Win: Charles Randolph and Adam McKay, The Big Short
Could Win: Emma Donoghue, Room
Should Win: Emma Donoghue, Room
Personal Favorite: Emma Donoghue, Room

BEST WRITING, ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Matt Charman, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, Bridge of Spies
Alex Garland, Ex Machina
Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, Josh Cooley and Ronnie Del Carmen, Inside Out
Josh Singer and Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Andrea Berloff, Jonathan Herman, S. Leigh Savidge and Alan Wenkus, Straight Outta Compton
Will Win: Josh Singer and Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Could Win: Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, Josh Cooley and Ronnie Del Carmen, Inside Out
Should Win: Andrea Berloff, Jonathan Herman, S. Leigh Savidge and Alan Wenkus, Straight Outta Compton
Personal Favorite: Alex Garland, Ex Machina

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